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Stock Market Basics
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Fund Advice > best performing mutual funds
best performing mutual funds - how to find them
As the old saying goes, "You judge a horse by its track record," and
that is probably true in most instances. However, it is not necessarily
true when assessing the performance of mutual funds. Using past
performance to determine a fund's future performance is much like
looking behind you to see ahead. It is not exactly an effective measure.
There are several companies that assess mutual funds and assign them
ratings based on specific criteria. Quite often, those criteria consist
of viewing the fund's past performance over a five year or ten year
period. However, this method has not proven to be effective in
determining how a fund will perform in the future. So, short of
polishing up the ole crystal ball and calling in to the psychic hotline,
what is the conscientious investor to do?
Morningstar is one of the first companies that springs up when folks
start talking about mutual fund ratings. As the most popular fund rating
company, Morningstar uses a star system to rate funds, with five stars
being top performers and one star being poor performers. However, the
crux of Morningstar's ratings system is on past performance and that
system may prove to be somewhat flawed.
Another source of fund rating is Lipper Leader Fund Ratings. Lipper uses
five criteria in ranking mutual funds: total return, consistent return,
preservation, tax efficiency and expense. They do factor in past
performance, but the system seems to be more focused on analytical
formulas than on past performance. Interestingly, investors must
register with Lipper in order to access the fund rankings while Reuters
uses Lipper rankings, yet allows immediate access to the information.
Business periodicals such as Business Week often publish their rankings
of mutual funds, often on an annual basis. Business Week, for example,
does publish the "Mutual Fund Scorecard" annually in their magazine, but
it can be accessed online at their website. On the website, the
Scorecard is updated monthly.
There are many magazines for business and investing that publish stock
picks and mutual fund ratings. Some publish the information on an annual
basis while others do so monthly. A discerning investor will be able to
decipher the information and make an educated decision based upon the
information from these publications as well as other sources.
Schwab's One Source Select List uses "rigorous criteria" to establish a
list that is published quarterly and outlines their version of top
ranking mutual funds. While the Schwab name is well known and trusted in
the business and investing community, the disclaimer that precedes the
ratings seems to be longer than the explanation for how the experts
established the ratings. However, they do have an easy to understand
table that lays out all the information on each fund. They even draw you
pictures to show your risk level on each fund.
The bottom line here is that if you want to use ratings as a method of
selecting the mutual funds in which you want to invest, it would be wise
to assess several different sources with different ranking methods and
see which mutual funds consistently rise to the top. Using just one
rating source may not be an entirely effective method if you wish to
invest wisely.
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